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Weather Almanac

Weather Almanac for September 2004

STORM SURGE

When we think of hurricanes and similar tropical storms, howling winds and incessant rains form the first impression. But historically, and for many areas still today, the storm surge accompanying these storms has been the greatest killer. (Because of advances in forecasting and storm emergency responses, surge deaths in the US have declined, and flooding taken the mantle of deadliest component.) Many thousands of the victims of the Great Galveston Hurricane of 1900 died as the result of storm surge, and surge and subsequent flooding in Bangladesh has been responsible for hundreds of thousands of death in the past.

storm surge strikes the Florida Panhandle

3 meter (16 ft) of storm surge strikes the Florida Panhandle during Hurricane Eloise, 1975
(Historic NWS Collection, Courtesy of NOAA/US Dept of Commerce)

Storm surge is a very complex component of a strong storm over water, though in simplest terms, it is water pushed toward the shore by the wind forces of a storm. Storm surge of note can form on any large body of water, but the most impressive and deadliest form in the vicinity of storms of the hurricane family. Not only is the height of a storm surge dependent on the nature of the storm — its wind speed, the storm's speed and direction, and its central pressure — but it also has oceanographic, geological and planetary influences defining its height and speed. These include the depth of the water, the submarine topography beneath the surge, the shoreline and beach characteristics, and the astronomical tides.

The storm surge, also called the hurricane surge, was once thought to be the result of water being drawn upward in the storm center where the atmospheric pressure is lowest. In the ideal state, a 10 kPa (100 mb) pressure fall would raise the water level about a metre. If you are still more at ease with the old Imperial units of measure, for each inch of mercury fall in the central pressure, the water level would rise 1.13 ft. (The pressure of one inch of mercury is 3.39 kPa.) In this scenario, the surge would arrive with the eye of the storm.

Hurricane driven surge

Hurricane-driven storm surge in open waters.

However, we now know that the major storm factor defining the surge height is the resultant wind speed of the storm, the combination of the mean wind speed and the storm speed, which is generally greatest in the fore-right sector of the storm, usually the northeast sector, determined by its direction of motion. Hurricanes with winds of 120-152 km/h (75-95 mph) will typically produce a storm surge about 1.5 m (5 ft) high, while winds of 208-248 km/h (130-155 mph) can be preceded by a storm surge as high as 5.5 m (18 ft), to which is added the wave heights building on the surge front. The astronomical tides may add or subtract from the surge height when the storm nears the shoreline. The worst-case scenario is, therefore, a storm surge arriving on high tide. This combination of storm surge and astronomical tides is called the storm tide or hurricane tide.

Maximum Storm Surge Region

Maximum Storm Surge Region for Hypothetical Hurricane
( Courtesy of US Army Corps of Engineers)

The height of the storm surge wall of water, or surge wall, can be estimated quite well when the storm is out at sea. Typically, storm surges raise a dome of sea water 60-80 km (35-50 miles) across and 2-5 metres (6-15 ft) above normal sea level, about three quarters or more of that height due to the force of the wind. When the hurricane makes landfall, however, the local topographic factors of the coastline play a very important role in the height and damage potential of the surge, and differences in surge impacts can vary significantly over shoreline sectors separated by even a few kilometres.

Among the topographical factors influencing the storm surge are the slope of the sea bottom offshore, the slope of the shoreline itself, and the nature of the shoreline shape — that is, the orientation and size of indentations such as bays and estuaries — and offshore islands or barriers. Some embayments can funnel the oncoming surge wall and increase its height as it squeezes its breadth. Such local features can amplify the height by more than 50 percent and may also increase the speed of the surge wall.


Storm Surge and Tide Impact Shoreline

Storm Surge and Tide Impact Shoreline

When storm forecasters issue storm surge warnings, they must also account for the tide position at the time of landfall. If the storm were to strike at high tide, say 2 metres above mean sea level, those 2 metres must be added to the surge height. If it is low tide when the surge strikes, say 2 m below mean sea level, that must be subtracted from the surge warning. The difference in potential impacts can be as great as night and day. For example, the great storm surge arriving on highest tide and resulting flood in Bangladesh from a cyclone in November 1970 killed 200,000 to 300,000 people. A very similar storm a few years later that arrived at low tide caused less than a tenth the death toll (though still a significant number).

Impacts of Storm Surge

In a world devoid of human habitation and infrastructure, a storm surge striking along a coastline will have major local impacts on the topography and any resident plant and animal life. But few coastal areas are completely free of human encroachment, the shoreline is a beautiful and useful place to live, so for thousands of years, humans have sought beachfront property for living and working. This desire to live close to the water exposes humans and their infrastructure to the impacts of surge including housing, docks and other port facilities, commercial establishments, and vacation properties.

Surge-caused flooding can remain a hazard over a long time frame, but a good portion of the damage is done when the surge wall first strikes. A volume of water has one thousand times the weight of a similar volume of air, and thus the force generated by a moving wall of water can be many times more damaging than the hurricane-force winds of a storm. Coupled with wave action superimposed upon it, storm surges can result in pressures of 50 tonnes per square metre (10,250 pounds per square foot) on the shoreline or structures such as buildings, wharves and sea walls. Such forces can easily destroy many buildings and port facilities and break glass in buildings able to withstand the force of the water. The power of the moving water can easily push boats and vehicles caught in the flow around and lift smaller buildings off their foundations.

Before Surge Damage After Surge

A section of shoreline before and after storm surge at Folly Beach, SC. (Photo Courtesy of NOAA/US Dept of Commerce)

Even when the surge front does not destroy, the wall of water produces flash flooding that can cut off escape routes, rush into underground structures such as basements and subways, and flood subterranean utilities. And more often than not, the surge waters flood inland areas for days after the storm has passed. In a low-lying areas like in coastal Bangladesh, surge flood waters added onto storm rainfall can be particularly devastating, and is often the factor responsible for the high death toll in many Bangladesh storms.

In many storms, the damage done by storm surge along the coastline can rival or exceed that caused by wind or rain. Costs can only rise as people seek to colonize shoreline areas for their homes, businesses, and recreation. In many coastal areas of the American Gulf and East Coast, knowledge of potential storm surge damage is now being used to plan and zone coastal habitation. Planners and emergency response programs are aided in determining the potential damage from storm surge by mathematical models such as SLOSH which look at the effects of ocean waters pushed by severe storms.

Some American Storm Surges of Note

Prior to the advent of our current intensive storm and sea warning programs, many people died when storm surge struck ahead of landing storms. Estimates of the deaths attributed to the surge from the 1900 Galveston Hurricane reached around 6000, and in Bangladesh the numbers reach into the hundreds of thousands. Surge continues to take many lives in areas where evacuation plans and adequate storm shelters are not available. In the United States and Canada, the number of surge-related deaths has reduced drastically in the past decades, in part due to sophisticated forecasting tools and focused education programs aimed at those living and working along the shorelines. Most surge deaths in these countries are now mostly the reckless who tempt fate by moving into danger and the foolish who do not heed evacuation edicts.

Storm Surge Strikes the New England Coast, 1954

Storm Surge Strikes the New England Coast, 1954
(Historic NWS Collection, Courtesy of NOAA/US Dept of Commerce)

In the United States in the last century, eight hurricanes that made landfall on the American coast are of particular note due to their surge impacts:

  • Galveston Hurricane, 1900
  • Okeechobee Hurricane, 1928
  • Labour Day Hurricane, 1935
  • Great New England Hurricane, 1938
  • Hurricane Audrey, 1957
  • Hurricane Camille, 1969
  • Hurricane Hugo, 1989
  • Hurricane Opal, 1995
  • Hurricane Katrina, 2005

Hurricane Opal caused extensive storm surge damage in Florida from Pensacola Beach to Mexico Beach with a maximum storm tide of 7.3 m (24 ft) recorded near Fort Walton Beach. Total damage estimates reached billions of dollars. Hurricane Hugo pushed a storm surge estimated at 6 m (19.8 ft) at Romain Retreat, South Carolina. Storm surge in excess of 3.7 m (12 ft) from Hurricane Audrey resulted in an estimated 390 deaths over the flat coast of southwestern Louisiana, pushing water as far inland as 40 km (25 miles).

The Galveston Hurricane, as mentioned, inundated the city and smashed thousands of wooden buildings with a 4.8 m (15.7 ft) wall of water. Many who died had rushed to the sea wall to witness the storm. The Okeechobee Hurricane made landfall near Palm Beach and when the center passed near Lake Okeechobee, a lake surge caused the lake to overflow its banks and inundate the surrounding area to a depth of 2-3 m (6 to 9 ft). Over 1,800 people died in Florida, most from the surge.

The Labour Day Hurricane brought a surge estimated as high as 6 m (20 ft) across the Florida Keys sweeping hundreds to their deaths (the official toll was 423). Many of the dead were World War I veterans in Civilian Conservation Corps camps sent to work on the Overseas Highway being built to connect the Florida Keys with the mainland. The Great New England Hurricane surprised residents of New England with strong winds and a storm surge of 4.3-7.0 m (14-23 ft) that inundated the coasts of Long Island, New York, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and southeastern Massachusetts and destroyed coastal homes, marinas and yacht clubs.

Richelieu Apartments before  Hurricane Camille Richelieu Apartments  after Hurricane Camille

The Richelieu Apartments before and after Hurricane Camille. (Photo Courtesy of NOAA/US Dept of Commerce)

Hurricane Camille deserves more space than I can give it here, because this storm was significant in many ways. Of the above-mentioned storms, it is the latest with significant fatalities due to storm surge and perhaps did more to make Americans aware of the dangers of wind and surge at the shore. One of only four Category 5 hurricanes to hit the continental United States, Camille generated the greatest storm surge ever recorded in the US, a 7.3 m (24-ft) high dome of water that pushed into Pass Christian, Mississippi on Aug. 17, 1969. The best estimates say that Camille killed 172 people on the Gulf Coast, with surge accounting for most of these deaths.

Where I and others feel Camille taught a great, though tragic, lesson, was the underestimation by many of the surge impacts. Many Mississippi coastal residents believed their buildings were immune to the strength of the hurricane winds, but did not reckon on the power of the surge. Although damage across southern Mississippi was staggering, most structures within about 800 m (1/2 mile) from the ocean just vanished with only footings and slabs remaining to indicate their former presence.

Of the many stories of Camille, none is as tragic as that of the 24 people who remained in the Richelieu Apartments in Pass Christian. Rather than evacuate, the story goes, they held a "hurricane party" to ride out the storm in what they believed was a soundly built apartment complex able to withstand the winds. The story of a hurricane party is, in fact, untrue, a long-standing tale; however, the building was considered safe for refuge. When the surge hit the building, it inundated the first and second floors and swept the structure from its foundation. Only one seeking shelter there survived, a woman swept more than 19 km (12 miles) inland. Today, their tragic ending is often told to remind those of the dangers of fooling with Mother Nature where storm meets shore.

One of the strongest storms to impact the coast of the United States during the last 100 years, Hurricane Katrina blew with sustained landfall windsat 140 mph (225 km/h) — a strong Category 4 hurricane — and minimum central pressure the third lowest on record at landfall (920 mb). Katrina produced widespread devastation along the central Gulf Coast states of the US. Cities such as New Orleans, Mobile, and Gulfport bore the brunt of Katrina's fury. Storm surge off Mobile Bay inundated Mobile, Alabama. A 20 to 30+ foot (6.1 to 9.1 + m) storm surge flooded large portions of Biloxi and Gulfport, Mississippi as Gulf of Mexico floodwaters spread several miles (kilometres) inland.

Storm Surge Damage from Hurricane Katrina

Storm Surge Damage from Hurricane Katrina
photo courtesy Dr. John Lipscomb, Jr., P.Eng.

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Written by
Keith C. Heidorn, PhD, THE WEATHER DOCTOR,
September 1, 2004, updated October 3, 2005


The Weather Doctor's Weather Almanac Storm Surge
©2004, 2005, Keith C. Heidorn, PhD. All Rights Reserved.
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